Friday, 10 October 2014

2 opinion polls say BJP will form Maharashtra govt

The BJP seems set to form the next govern ment in Maharashtra, according to two opinion polls released on Thursday .While one gave the party a clear majority of 154 seats in the 288-member state assembly, the other gave it 133, just a little short of the half-way mark.

The opinion poll done by Cicero for the India Today group predicted that the BJP would win between 121 and 145 seats or a range of 12 seats around the 133 mark. That would mean a gain of over 80 seats from the party's 2009 tally of 46.

It also suggested its vote share would more than double from 14% five years ago to touch 30%.

According to this poll, the Shiv Sena would finish a distant second with 57 seats, the NCP third with 33 seats and the Congress would come down from the 82 it won last time to just 30 seats.

The MNS would win 10 and others 25 seats, the poll predicted. If this scenario comes true, the BJP should not find it difficult at all to form the government, whether with the support of the Sena, still an ally at the Centre, or otherwise.

Another poll, conducted by Hansa Research for The Week, forecast 154 seats for the BJP, 47 for the Sena, 25 for the Congress, 17 for the NCP and 10 for the MNS, leaving 35 for others to mop up. This poll predicted a vote share of 36.5% for the BJP about two-and-a-half times what it got in 2009.

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